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Arthur Hayes predicts an imminent bull run for Bitcoin as G7 central banks begin to ease monetary policy

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Arthur Hayes predicts impending bull run for Bitcoin as G7 central banks start easing policy

Co-founder of BitMEX Arthur Hayes believes that recent policy changes by global central banks herald the start of a significant bull market Bitcoin and high-potential altcoins.

In his latest blog post, “Group of fools,” Hayes explained how these changes in monetary policy create fertile ground for the growth of the cryptocurrency market.

Hayes highlighted the recent rate cuts by the Bank of Canada (BOC) and the European Central Bank (ECB) as crucial moments. The decisions mark the first time in years that G7 countries have reduced their key interest rates.

According to Hayes, this change will inject new energy into the cryptocurrency market. He said:

“The trend is unmistakable. Central banks are starting to ease monetary policies. This is the time to invest heavily in Bitcoin and altcoins.”

Central bank easing

At the heart of Hayes’ criticism is the G7’s management of the Japanese yen, which he says is misleading.

Hayes previously suggested that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) should exchange unlimited quantities of newly printed dollars with the Bank of Japan (BOJ) for yen. This move, he speculated, would give the Japanese Ministry of Finance unlimited dollar resources to buy yen in global forex markets, thus strengthening the yen.

However, he noted that the G7’s current strategy appears to be focused on convincing markets that the interest rate differential will narrow over time, which he believes will lead to buying yen and selling other currencies.

The crux of Hayes’ argument lies in the disparity between the BOJ’s 0.1% policy rate and the 4% to 5% rates of other G7 central banks. He argues that this differential fundamentally drives exchange rates.

He further explained that during the pandemic, central banks around the world provided cheap money to counter economic slowdowns, but rising inflation forced everyone except the BOJ to raise rates aggressively. The BOJ’s inability to raise rates stems from its massive holdings of Japanese government bonds (JGBs). An increase in rates would cause JGB prices to fall, resulting in significant losses for the central bank.

Hayes stressed that cutting rates to narrow the interest rate differential is the only viable option left for the G7, despite inflation still running above target levels for most of these central banks.

Hayes said recent rate cuts by the BOC and ECB are strange, given that inflation in both regions remains above 2% targets. She speculated that these cuts could be a coordinated effort to manage the value of the yen and prevent a potential devaluation of the Chinese yuan, which could destabilize the global financial system.

Looking ahead, Hayes expressed doubts about the possibility of the Fed cutting rates so close to the upcoming US presidential election market speculation. He predicted that the Fed and BOJ are likely to maintain their current policies in upcoming meetings, with a potential surprise rate cut by the Bank of England (BOE) after the G7 summit.

Hayes concluded that recent rate cuts signal the start of an easing cycle, which he believes will reinvigorate the cryptocurrency market.

New highs

Hayes sees these conditions as a catalyst for the cryptocurrency market. He has indicated that he is shifting his investments from stablecoins to “high-conviction shitcoins,” although he intends to disclose specific tokens only after securing his positions.

It also urged projects within its Maelstrom portfolio to proceed with token launches without delay.

Reflecting on historical trends, Hayes noted that both traditional stocks and Bitcoin have historically rallied during periods of low interest rates.

He highlighted Bitcoin’s dramatic rise from under $4,000 to $64,000 between March 2020 and April 2021, following the Fed’s dramatic rate cut to 0.25%.

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How Ether Spot ETF Approval Could Impact Crypto Prices: CNBC Crypto World

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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How Ether Spot ETF Approval Could Impact Crypto Prices: CNBC Crypto World

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CNBC Crypto World features the latest news and daily trading updates from the digital currency markets and gives viewers a glimpse of what’s to come with high-profile interviews, explainers and unique stories from the ever-changing cryptocurrency industry. On today’s show, Ledn Chief Investment Officer John Glover weighs in on what’s driving cryptocurrency prices right now and how the potential approval of spot ether ETFs could impact markets.

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Miners’ ‘Capitulation’ Signals Bitcoin Price May Have Bottomed Out: CryptoQuant

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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Miners' 'Capitulation' Signals Bitcoin Price May Have Bottomed Out: CryptoQuant

According to CryptoQuant, blockchain data shows signs that the Bitcoin mining industry is “capitulating,” a likely precursor to Bitcoin hitting a local price bottom before reaching new highs.

CryptoQuant analyzed metrics for miners, who are responsible for securing the Bitcoin network in exchange for newly minted BTC. As outlined in the market intelligence platform’s Wednesday report, multiple signs of capitulation have emerged over the past month, during which Bitcoin’s price has fallen 13% from $68,791 to $59,603.

One such sign includes a significant drop in Bitcoin’s hash rate, the total computing power that backs Bitcoin. After hitting a record high of 623 exashashes per second (EH/s) on April 27, the hash rate has fallen 7.7% to 576 EH/s, its lowest level in four months.

“Historically, extreme hash rate drawdowns have been associated with price bottoms,” CryptoQuant wrote. In particular, the 7.7% drawdown is reminiscent of an equivalent hash rate drawdown in December 2022, when Bitcoin’s price bottomed at $16,000 before rallying over 300% over the next 15 months.

This latest hash rate drop follows Bitcoin’s fourth cyclical “halving” event in April, which cut the number of coins paid out to miners in half. According to CryptoQuant’s Miner Profit/Loss Sustainability Indicator, this has left miners “mostly extremely underpaid” since April 20, forcing many to shut down mining machines that have now become unprofitable.

CrypotoQuant said that miners faced a 63% drop in daily revenue after the halving, when both Bitcoin block rewards and transaction fee revenues were much higher.

During this time, Bitcoin miners were seen moving coins from their on-chain wallets at a faster rate than usual, indicating that they may be selling their BTC reserves“Daily miner outflows reached their highest volume since May 21,” the company wrote.

Among the sales of Bitcoin miners, whales and national governmentsBitcoin’s price drop in June also hurt Bitcoin’s “hash price,” a metric of Bitcoin Miner Profitability per unit of computing power.

“Average mining revenue per hash (hash price) continues to hover near all-time lows,” CryptoQuant wrote. “Hashprice stands at $0.049 per EH/s, just above the all-time low hashprice of $0.045 reached on May 1st.”

By Ryan-Ozawa.

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US Congressman French Hill Doubles Down on Trump’s Pro-Crypto Stance

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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US Congressman French Hill Doubles Down on Trump's Pro-Crypto Stance

US lawmaker French Hill has noted that Donald Trump will take a more pro-crypto approach than the current administration. The run-up to the presidential election has seen cryptocurrencies become an issue with lawmakers making huge statements ahead of the polls. Donald Trump has also been reaching out to the industry, making a pro-crypto case.

French Hill Backs Trump’s Pro-Crypto Stance

Republican Congressman French Hill has explained the type of cryptocurrency regulatory framework he believes Donald Trump could adopt in the country. In a recent interview with CNBC, French Hill said that the recently passed FIT21 bill is the type of regulatory framework the Trump administration will adopt in the sector.

THE FIT21 Bill It is intended to protect investors and consumers in the market by establishing clear rules and powers for the various regulators in the sector. According to Hill, Trump will adopt it because it directs the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on the specific regulatory framework needed in the market.

“… for people who are innovating and starting a crypto token, a related business, custody of those assets, how to ensure consumer protection, so I think that framework is the right approach and that’s what I’m going to recommend to the President to pass, which is that we have not passed it between now and the end of this Congress.”

He also called Trump an innovative and pro-growth president in financial matters.

Cryptocurrency is going mainstream

This election cycle saw the cryptocurrency industry taking a place in mainstream issues following broader adoption across demographics. From candidates moving toward enthusiasts to recent pro-Congress legislation, cryptocurrencies have become a rallying point for officials. The U.S. regulatory landscape has been criticized for stifling growth due to frequent SEC LawsuitsThis has led executives to push for pro-cryptocurrency laws and raise money for pro-industry candidates.

Read also: Federal Reserve Predicts “AI Will Be Deflationary” to Stimulate Economy

David Pokima

David is a financial news contributor with 4 years of experience in Blockchain and cryptocurrency. He is interested in learning about emerging technologies and has an eye for breaking news. Keeping up to date with trends, David has written in several niches including regulation, partnerships, cryptocurrency, stocks, NFTs, etc. Away from the financial markets, David enjoys cycling and horseback riding.



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US Court Orders Sam Ikkurty to Pay $84 Million for Cryptocurrency Ponzi Scheme

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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U.S. Court orders Sam Ikkurty to pay $84M for crypto Ponzi scheme

A federal court has ordered Jafia LLC and its owner, Sam Ikkurty, to pay nearly $84 million to cryptocurrency investors after ruling that the company was operating a Ponzi scheme.

The ruling, issued by Judge Mary Rowland in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Illinois, follows a lawsuit filed by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in 2022 after the fund collapsed.

Judge Rowland found that Ikkurty, based in Portland, Oregon, did numerous false claims on his company’s hedge funds.

These included misleading statements about his trading experience and the promise of high and stable profits. Instead, Ikkurty used funds from new investors to pay off previous investors, a hallmark of a Ponzi scheme.

The Ponzi Scheme

The court found that Ikkurty misappropriated investment funds for personal use without the knowledge of the investors. These funds were used for personal use and were reported as Fraudulent Investmentscausing significant financial losses to customers.

This non-transparent operation violated Transparency Commission regulations, which led to the imposition of a hefty fine to compensate defrauded investors and restore some public confidence in the financial system.

Judge Rowland emphasized that fraudulent activity such as this violates the law and undermines the integrity of modern financial markets. The $84 million award seeks to address the financial harm inflicted on investors and reinforce the importance of legal compliance in cryptocurrency trading.

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