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analyst says ‘we’ve seen this before’

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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analyst says 'we've seen this before'

The price of Bitcoin fell nearly 5% on Tuesday, hitting lows of $66K, as the crypto market turned negative ahead of this week’s FOMC meeting.

BTC price fell to lows of $66,018 on Coinbase to erase gains seen when prices reached highs of $71,974 last Friday.

CoinGecko data showed Bitcoin traded down almost 5% in 24 hours. The top cryptocurrency has pared weekly gains and is down 6% during this period at the time of writing.

Why did the price of Bitcoin fall on Tuesday?

The benchmark cryptocurrency’s struggles this week come after spot Bitcoin ETFs enjoyed a decent 19-day streak of net inflows on Monday. The data showed that the sector recorded outflows of around US$65 million.

Also on Tuesday, a Bitcoin wallet that had been dormant for over 5 years suddenly woke up and transferred 8,000 BTC worth over $535 million to multiple addresses, including Binance.

According to Lookonchainthis wallet received 8,000 BTC on December 6, 2018. The price of Bitcoin was $3,810 at the time.

Risk Mood Ahead of CPI and FOMC

While the price remains well above the psychological $60,000 level, upcoming FOMC minutes and comments from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell have investors paying attention.

It is in line with the global macro environment, including the economic reports expected this week, and market experts have signaled that this is a scenario that could be at the top of the list of factors for investors to consider.

“Markets are in risk-off mode ahead of CPI and FOMC tomorrow. This month’s FOMC will also release the Dot Plot, which tells the market how many cuts the Fed anticipates for the rest of 2024,” analysts at QCP Capital, a global digital asset trading firm and market maker, said. he said.

Analyst: ‘we’ve seen this before’

While prices could fall further ahead of these macroeconomic reports and the Fed’s interest rate decision, pseudonymous crypto analysts Mustache and Max say the FOMC has been historically bullish on Bitcoin.

“FOMC tomorrow and $BTC form a bullish inverse head and shoulders pattern here. The latest FOMC meetings have already marked the drop in the left shoulder + head. The next right shoulder? Crypto trader mustache pointed to his 123,000 X followers.

Sharing a Bitcoin price chart with FOMC meetings mapped onto it, Max notes that the last three have coincided with a dip and then a move higher. “We’ve seen this before,” the analyst posted in X.

“Bitcoin loves to rally after every FOMC meeting,” another crypto analyst Ali Martinez observed.

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We are the editorial team of Altcoin Updates, where seriousness meets clarity in cryptocurrency analysis. With a robust team of finance and blockchain technology experts, we are dedicated to meticulously exploring complex crypto markets with detailed assessments and an unbiased approach. Our mission is to democratize access to knowledge of emerging financial technologies, ensuring they are understandable and accessible to all. In every article on Altcoin Updates, we strive to provide content that not only educates, but also empowers our readers, facilitating their integration into the financial digital age.

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Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens

Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.

Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.

In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.

On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.

The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.

“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.

Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.

The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.

“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.

That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.

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Bitcoin

How systematic approaches reduce investor risk

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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How systematic approaches reduce investor risk

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.

Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.

(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)

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Bitcoin

India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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Amitoj Singh

“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”

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Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets

Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.

Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.

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