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Analyst Says “It’s Just a Matter of Time” Before Bitcoin Surpasses ATH

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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Bitcoin Inventory on Exchanges

An analyst explained how Bitcoin’s availability for trading has silently declined during the asset’s recent consolidation phase.

Bitcoin may be in a good position to establish new all-time highs

In a new publish on X, analyst Willy Woo discusses the recent trend in Bitcoin stock in centralized exchange platforms.

The chart below shows how spot and paper BTC reserves have changed over the past few years.

Bitcoin Inventory on ExchangesIt appears both metrics have seen a decline recently | Source: @woonomic on X

As the graph shows, Bitcoin in spot wallets has been decreasing in recent months. The total amount of these BTC held by central entities has now dropped to just 2.3 million.

It is also apparent that the total sum of BTC spot and “paper” (highlighted in purple) has decreased at the same time. Paper BTC here refers to cryptocurrency-related derivative products that do not actually require investors to own the asset.

So, given that the combined sum of exchange supply has fallen for the cryptocurrency, it appears that the decrease in spot BTC is not due to paper BTC replacing it.

Generally, the supply from exchanges is considered part of the supply of Bitcoin, which is “available” for trading. As such, due to the way supply-demand dynamics work, less of this available supply could be a constructive sign for the cryptocurrency.

From the chart, it is visible that this decline in exchange stock occurred during a period when the cryptocurrency’s price faced difficulties after establishing a new all-time high (ATH). As Woo notes,

While everyone was freaking out because the price of Bitcoin wasn’t rising in the last 2 months, the available BTC was being silently acquired and, most importantly, without printed paper BTC in its place.

Therefore, the fact that available supply decreased during that period could be a bullish sign for the currency. “It’s only a matter of time before BTC surpasses all-time highs,” says the analyst.

In another X publishWoo also discussed how capital flows into Bitcoin have started to increase again after previously recording a sharp drop.

Bitcoin Network FlowsThe value of the metric appears to have increased in recent days | Source: @woonomic on X

As the chart shows, network inflows spiked alongside the all-time high but saw a major slowdown in the ensuing consolidation.

The inputs of spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs)highlighted in light green, they also disappeared previously, but have now returned along with these new capital inflows.

BTC Price

Bitcoin had recovered to $71,000 previously but appears to have fallen in recent days as it has now returned below the $68,000 level.

Bitcoin Price ChartThe asset’s price appears to have plummeted in the last 24 hours | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView

Featured image from Shutterstock.com, woocarts.com, chart from TradingView.com

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We are the editorial team of Altcoin Updates, where seriousness meets clarity in cryptocurrency analysis. With a robust team of finance and blockchain technology experts, we are dedicated to meticulously exploring complex crypto markets with detailed assessments and an unbiased approach. Our mission is to democratize access to knowledge of emerging financial technologies, ensuring they are understandable and accessible to all. In every article on Altcoin Updates, we strive to provide content that not only educates, but also empowers our readers, facilitating their integration into the financial digital age.

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Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens

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Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens

Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.

Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.

In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.

On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.

The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.

“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.

Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.

The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.

“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.

That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.

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Bitcoin

How systematic approaches reduce investor risk

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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How systematic approaches reduce investor risk

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.

Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.

(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)

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Bitcoin

India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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Amitoj Singh

“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”

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Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets

Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.

Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.

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