Bitcoin
How Low Could BTC Price Fall in This Crypto Market Crash
With a 1.68% drop in the total market capitalization of the crypto world, Bitcoin continues to decline with an increase in supply pressure. Although 90% of Bitcoin HODLers make a profit, the downtrend warns of a constant drop in this percentage.
Furthermore, nearly $500 million long liquidations in the crypto market reveal a strong downside. However, 70% of HODLers have been in the game for over a year, revealing the underlying trust in investors.
This week, with the opening bells in the Asian market, Bitcoin marks a 1.10% drop and trades slightly above the $65,000 level. BTC price sustains this level with a lower price rejection from the $64,050 mark, discovering demand at lower levels.
However, over the past ten days, Bitcoin has struggled to display any significant bullish candles and is down nearly 5%. Will the ongoing fight for a comeback fail to sustain above $65,000 this week? How low can BTC price fall in this crypto market crash? Let’s take a look at the price analysis and find the Bitcoin Price Prediction in this market crash.
Bitcoin Price Performance
After falling within the flag pattern, BTC price breaks below the support trendline and the 50D EMA. With this drop, bullish players are losing hope as the inverted head and shoulders pattern fails.
Furthermore, with the completion of the short-term recovery, the downtrend is down 7.62% in the last twelve days. As the lower formation continues with an increase in trading volume, reinforcing the bearish cycle, BTC price is under extreme selling pressure.
At the moment, Bitcoin is trading at $65,777 with a long tail formation on the daily candle, revealing a bullish return on the shorter time frames.
Do derivatives detect chances of reversal?
Despite a positive funding rate of 0.00114035, open interest has been declining in recent days. Currently, IO is at US$17.616 billion, down 2.63% in 24 hours and 4.88% in the last week.
Rising funding rates signal optimism in long traders, but declining OI reveals profit booking and/or leveraged liquidations of long positions. This reveals a paradox of cautious optimism in the market.
If cautious traders slowly start to gain traction, Bitcoin price could reverse from the $65,000 level.
How low will Bitcoin go?
As the fall in the crypto market continues, Bitcoin price struggling at the $65,000 level warns of further corrections. However, with the rejection of lower prices with peaceful derivatives data, the underlying confidence in bullish traders is increasing.
Hence, an intraday bullish support above the $65,000 level could result in a bullish reversal in Bitcoin price. Optimistically, the bull run from this support could challenge $70,000 by the end of this week, undermining the recent correction.
On the downside, a correction below $65,000 will be fatal for Bitcoin and altcoins, fueling the bearish run. In this case, the next dominant support level in demand is $60,070, a further decline of 7%.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
Fuente
Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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