Bitcoin
Bitcoin or gold? Fidelity’s top expert shuts down speculation
Gamza Khanzadaev
Bitcoin Poised for Explosive Growth, Says Fidelity Global Macro Director, But Not Yet
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In the ongoing debate on Bitcoin versus gold as a superior store of value, Jurrien TimmerDirector of Global Macro at Fidelity, provided analysis that sheds new light on this hot topic.
According to Timmer, both assets are often seen as hedges against fiscal dominance, where the government dilutes the value of money by increasing the money supply. He argues that this thesis is fundamentally sound, since sustained increases in the money supply typically lead to inflation. This correlation is evident when comparing the 10-year growth rate of the M2 money supply and the consumer price index.
Source: Jurrien Timmer
Timmer suggests that for Bitcoin and gold to truly solidify their role as stores of value, there needs to be consistent above-trend growth in monetary aggregates. However, he notes that this has not yet occurred. The dramatic increase in real money supply during the pandemic was quickly reversed by the Federal Reserve’s restrictive policies, suggesting that conditions expected to Bitcoin thrive as a competitive analogue of gold have not yet been achieved.
He also addresses the notion of cryptocurrency as “gold 2.0”, referring to it as “exponential gold” due to its combination of monetary properties and advanced network technology.
Bitcoin versus gold
The discussion that Bitcoin could surpass gold in market capitalization is not new and has been going on in the community since the cryptocurrency became public knowledge.
Not without reason, the first crypto transaction was a Times headline about the global financial crisis. With the introduction of the location Bitcoin ETFsThis debate has only intensified as hundreds of millions of people can now buy cryptocurrency the traditional way.
Currently, gold’s market capitalization is over $15.6 trillion, while Bitcoin’s is approximately $1.33 trillion. For the latter to equal the market value of gold, it would need to grow 11.72 times, reaching an estimated price of almost US$790,000 per BTC.
About the author
Gamza Khanzadaev
Financial analyst, trader and crypto enthusiast.
Gamza graduated in finance and credit with a specialization in securities and financial derivatives. He also completed a master’s program in banking and asset management.
He wants to help cover economic and fintech topics, as well as educate more people about cryptocurrencies and blockchain.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
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Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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