Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Pullback to $66K Triggers $250M Crypto Settlement Trades for FOMC, CPI Report
Cryptocurrencies fell further into correction on Tuesday with bitcoin (BTC) falling near $66,000 as investors prepare for Wednesday’s key US inflation report and Federal Reserve meeting.
Bitcoin (BTC) It began the day trading near $70,000 before hitting a three-week low of $66,170 during the US session. It has recovered slightly to near $66,500 but is still down almost 5% in the last 24 hours.
Altcoins suffered even deeper pullbacks during the same period, with the crypto market benchmark CoinDesk 20 falling more than 6%, with all twenty constituents in the red. Ethereum Ether (ETH) broke below $3,500 and fell 6.5%, while Solana (SUN)dogecoin (DOGE)Cardano ADA and Chainlink LINK suffered losses of 6% to 9%.
The sudden pullback generated more than $250 million in liquidations of leveraged derivatives trading positions across all crypto assets, CoinGlass Data shows, marking the second significant leverage increase in a week following Friday’s $400 million settlement.
Liquidations occur when an exchange closes a leveraged position due to a partial or complete loss of the trader’s initial money, or “margin,” because the user does not meet margin requirements or does not have sufficient funds to keep the position open.
One reason behind the pullback is that investors “de-risk” crypto assets ahead of the May Consumer Price Index (CPI) report and the Fed meeting, hedge fund QCP said in an update.
Bitcoin could have a volatile session on Wednesday as it has been “highly responsive” to economic data recently and its 30-day correlation with US stocks rising to the highest level since 2022, K33 Research noted in a market update on Tuesday.
“The stage is set for a frantic macro Wednesday, with May’s CPI data and the FED’s interest rate decision poised to move the market,” said K33 analysts.
Investors will monitor the interest rate outlook of members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) – the so-called “dot plot” – to see how many rate cuts policymakers are projecting for this year in light of recent readings. inflation and weaker economic data.
“The FOMC dot plot, along with forward guidance during Jerome Powell’s press conference, will likely be the most relevant price drivers as BTC resumes its attention to market interest rate expectations.”
Market watchers noticed some positive signs during the sell-off that could point to a quick recovery.
Bitcoin has suffered several pullbacks this year ahead of FOMC meetings, only to reverse the move shortly after, pseudonymous crypto analyst Gumshoe pointed out in a blog post. X post.
Bitcoin futures open interest on cryptocurrency exchanges BitMEX and Binance deviated earlier today, cryptocurrency analytics platform CryptoQuant reported, citing pseudonymous trader BQYoutube. “This type of phenomenon is often observed when whales [on] BitMEX Starts Accumulating Positions While Binance Retail Is Destroyed,” the publish added.
“Despite short-term headwinds, we believe this could be a good opportunity to accumulate coins,” said QCP.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
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Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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