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‘The US economy would have to collapse’

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Kevin O'Leary Responds To Cathie Wood's Bitcoin Prediction: 'The U.S. Economy Would Have To Collapse'

Kevin O’Leary responds to Cathie Wood’s Bitcoin prediction: ‘The US economy would have to collapse’

Cathie Wood, CEO of asset management firm Ark Invest, is known for making bizarre projections about the future of cryptocurrencies. While these predictions would make any token investor much richer, there are some very strong assumptions behind the predictions that have a very low probability of actually occurring.

Wood made several predictions about Bitcoin, always increasing the target price. Earlier in the year, Wood noted that the “base case“for Bitcoin it would be $600,000. However, this prediction has been raised to as much as $3.8 million by 2030:

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“Last year we made our bullish case for Bitcoin. It was $1.5 million. With this institutional green light that the SEC provided, although it was kicking and screaming, the analysis we did is that if institutional investors allocated a little more than 5% of their portfolios for Bitcoin, as we think will happen over time, that alone would add $2.3 million to the projection I just presented,” Wood said.

According to Kevin O’Leary, entrepreneur and host of “Shark Tank,” “That kind of appreciation would mean the American economy has collapsed, in my opinion. So that’s not good speculation.”

O’Leary goes on to say that many see Bitcoin as a hedge against economic downturns and that it has a “grip to it for that reason.” This is largely due to the fact that Bitcoin has a predictable supply that allows the price to be controlled almost exclusively by demand, while central bank currencies can be manipulated by human interference.

However, O’Leary does not believe that the world economy or the US economy will collapse anytime soon, which, according to his logic, would make it almost impossible for Bitcoin to reach Wood’s price target.

One caveat to O’Leary’s argument is that Wood’s prediction depends on institutional investment. Wood and Ark believe that high levels of institutional involvement in Bitcoin could drive the price higher. While this could happen, the likelihood of institutions placing “a little more than 5% of their portfolios in Bitcoin” is close to zero.

While a global economic collapse or a huge level of institutional investment could potentially drive Bitcoin to new heights, these events are very unlikely to occur. Furthermore, it is important to note that Wood is interested in spreading the word about Bitcoin and making the future look very bright. In January 2024, Ark was one of several companies that launched a spot Bitcoin ETF. If Wood can get investors excited about Bitcoin through her predictions, she could influence investors to start trading Bitcoin ETFs and, more specifically, the Ark ETF.

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This article Kevin O’Leary responds to Cathie Wood’s Bitcoin prediction: ‘The US economy would have to collapse’ originally appeared in Benzinga.com

© 2024 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.

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We are the editorial team of Altcoin Updates, where seriousness meets clarity in cryptocurrency analysis. With a robust team of finance and blockchain technology experts, we are dedicated to meticulously exploring complex crypto markets with detailed assessments and an unbiased approach. Our mission is to democratize access to knowledge of emerging financial technologies, ensuring they are understandable and accessible to all. In every article on Altcoin Updates, we strive to provide content that not only educates, but also empowers our readers, facilitating their integration into the financial digital age.

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Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens

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Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens

Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.

Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.

In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.

On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.

The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.

“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.

Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.

The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.

“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.

That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.

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Bitcoin

How systematic approaches reduce investor risk

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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How systematic approaches reduce investor risk

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.

Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.

(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)

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Bitcoin

India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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Amitoj Singh

“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”

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Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets

Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.

Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.

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