Bitcoin
Cryptocurrency has gone mainstream and investors should take note
Cryptocurrency is popular and lawmakers are taking note
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With the Republican Party solidifying its ticket for the presidential race with the addition of JD Vance, there is one more pro-crypto politician eyeing the White House in 2024. In addition to another pro-crypto individual entering the race, the SEC is inching closer to authorizing spot ether ETF products, which would represent another large-scale shift in the crypto landscape in 2024. Highlighting this pivot and change in attitude are recent comments from the head of Blackrock Larry Finkwho commented that his previous statements about bitcoin were incorrect and that bitcoin provides important diversification for asset managers. Notably, it also appears that real world asset tokenization – which Blackrock did bold predictions about – is outperforming other crypto assets in 2024 so far.
With this increase in positive momentum and sentiment, it seems that crypto investors and advocates can rest assured that the crypto market is in good hands. As tempting as this may seem, however, it is always important to have reasonable expectations, realistic plans, and logical methods to achieve these desired outcomes. Given that crypto continues to gain prominence on both sides of the aisle, and looks set to be at least part of the conversation as the race for the White House heats up, what are some bucket list items to keep in mind?
Stablecoin Policy
A long-awaited and discussed goal within the crypto community has been some sort of comprehensive policy or legislation around stable coinswhich makes sense from a number of perspectives. First, stablecoins provide a more easily understood on-ramp through lower volatility and connections to TradFi assets for individuals and institutions looking to gain exposure to crypto assets than other options. Second, TradFi companies have readily embraced stablecoins, with several companies having issued native stablecoins. Finally, this is an area that makes sense from a banking perspective as well, given the implications of stablecoin transactions.
Given that the US dollar is being challenged in its role as the global reserve currency by several nations, that tokenized transactions are cheaper and faster compared to existing options, and that the vast majority Stablecoins are backed 1:1 by the US dollar. Stablecoin policy makes sense from all perspectives. Establishing a solid policy in this space would benefit all investors and advocates in the space.
Bitcoin Policy
One wish list item that may be less possible in the near term is the establishment of a strategic U.S. policy on bitcoin. With nations like El Salvador Having several years of head start in this area, and deciding to physically store private keys to state-owned bitcoin holdings within the nation’s borders, there is precedent for the U.S. to develop and enact similar policies. Similar to how private corporations diversify asset holdings, establish and maintain diverse revenue streams, and allocate funds for future possibilities, nation-states have similar responsibilities.
With supporters Like Senator Lummis (R-WY), the potential for—if not a strategic bitcoin reserve—at least a strategic bitcoin policy is something that should be on every crypto advocate and investor’s wish list. Even the process of having the conversations and making the investments necessary to enact such a reserve or policy would accelerate broader policy discussions around crypto, tokenization, and the digitization of financial services.
Bitcoin may not have succeeded as the global reserve currency of the future, but it still has an important role to play in cryptocurrency policy and investment and will shape the future.
Renewable Energy Policy and Cryptography
Labeling this item a wish list item may seem like an interesting choice, as it combines two of the most hotly debated topics—bitcoin and renewable energy—into one option. Setting aside some of the rhetoric reveals that these two concepts are not as far apart as they may initially seem, and could actually help each other grow. Renewable energy, or non-fossil fuel energy sources, are already a political priority in the United States, and that seems unlikely to change any time soon. Even short-term divestments or new investments in fossil fuel production seem more like near-term events than major policy changes.
Cryptoassets, but especially bitcoin, have a documented history of not only using non-fossil fuel energy resources, and serving as a grid management tool during periods of higher than anticipated demand. As demand for electricity continues to increase, due to a number of different industries and commercial applications using AIThe focus on real-time, responsible and effective grid management should only become more of a priority. Since crypto operations already tend to be green, it makes political sense to look at how these two areas can work together.
Cryptocurrencies are coming to Washington in a big way, which could pave the way for some of these wish list items to become a reality.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
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Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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