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Will the UK abandon Bitcoin after Germany’s move? Is another BTC crash coming?

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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Following Germany’s recent Bitcoin sell-off, the cryptocurrency market is speculating whether the UK could follow Germany’s lead as new Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachael Reeves is under pressure to fund her economic plans. Given that the UK government holds a substantial stash of BTC, if Reeves decides to sell, rumors suggest a potential market crash.

The UK currently holds over $4 billion in BTC

According to a report by Bloomberg, Reeves may sell the UK’s seized Bitcoin assets, valued at around £3.9 billion or $5 billion, to support his economic agenda. The British government acquired these Bitcoin holdings through legal action, including a major case against money launderer Jian Wen. The Crown Prosecution Service secured Wen’s assets, including BTC, which were valued at around £2 billion at the time.

With crypto absent from Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s manifesto, questions remain about how the new administration will treat BTC and cryptocurrencies following a landslide victory. The previous Conservative-led regime, led by former PM Rishi Sunak, sought to implement comprehensive crypto regulations and transform Britain into a global hub for Web3 innovation.

Will the UK follow Germany’s move?

According to data from crypto intelligence platform Arkham, the UK government held approximately 61,245 Bitcoins as of July 19, worth over $4 billion. With the current value at £3.9 billion, Reeves has a substantial resource at his disposal. However, selling the assets could result in a substantial drop in the price of BTC, similar to what occurred after the recent major Bitcoin sell-off in Germany. Notably, the German government sold almost 50,000 BTC, contributing to a 15% price drop.

Is there an alternative way out?

While selling bitcoin could provide quick funds for Reeves’ economic plans, the move could lead to market volatility, and BTC could fall further, impacting the broader cryptocurrency market. However, Reeves may consider balancing the immediate financial gain with the likely long-term market consequences. The report suggests that a more strategic approach could involve relaxing cryptocurrency regulations to offset the potential market impacts.

The alternative path is to hold BTC, wait for higher prices, and even acquire more as a reserve asset. Notably, MicroStrategy and its founder Michael Saylor have touted crypto as a superior hedge against inflation. Sovereign nations like El Salvador under President Nayib Bukele have also advocated BTC investments and made millions of dollars in unrealized profits.

Bytecoin’s Charlie Morris noted the UK’s current anti-crypto stance. Relaxing regulations could attract investment and showcase the new government’s support for technology and innovation. Such a move could mitigate the negative effects of a BTC sell-off.

Market awaits Reeves’ decision as Bitcoin recovers

Market analysts and crypto enthusiasts will be closely watching Reeves’ decision. With international criminals increasing their use of BTC, more crypto assets could come under government control.

Bitcoin has recovered from its recent dip and is trading above the $65,000 mark. In the past day, it has fallen to $63,246, reflecting the volatile market scenario. Its trading volume has also increased by over 14%, reaching $32 billion at the time of writing. It is currently trading at $66,340.

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We are the editorial team of Altcoin Updates, where seriousness meets clarity in cryptocurrency analysis. With a robust team of finance and blockchain technology experts, we are dedicated to meticulously exploring complex crypto markets with detailed assessments and an unbiased approach. Our mission is to democratize access to knowledge of emerging financial technologies, ensuring they are understandable and accessible to all. In every article on Altcoin Updates, we strive to provide content that not only educates, but also empowers our readers, facilitating their integration into the financial digital age.

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Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens

Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.

Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.

In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.

On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.

The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.

“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.

Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.

The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.

“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.

That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.

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How systematic approaches reduce investor risk

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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How systematic approaches reduce investor risk

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.

Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.

(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)

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India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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Amitoj Singh

“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”

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Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets

Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.

Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.

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