Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) News Today: BTC Nears $60K on Fed Rate Cut Hopes, ETF Inflows
German Government BTC Holdings 140724
The German government’s BTC sales and the surge in demand for US BTC spot ETFs coincided with growing bets on a Fed rate cut in September.
Will Fed Chair Powell give the green light for a Fed rate cut in September?
On Monday, July 15, Fed Chairman Powell is scheduled to speak. Recent US Inflation Numbers fueled investor bets on a Fed rate cut in September. According to the CME FedWatch Toolthe odds of the Fed cutting interest rates in September jumped from 77.7% on July 5 to 96.3% on July 12.
The Fed’s interest rate cuts could reduce borrowing costs and boost buyer demand for riskier assets. The US BTC spot ETF market and BTC would likely benefit from a more dovish Fed rate path.
A continued increase in demand for US BTC spot ETFs could signal a BTC breakout above $60,000.
While the US BTC spot ETF market has influenced BTC price trends, the ETH– spot ETF approvals remained pending.
Will the SEC Approve US ETH-Spot ETFs?
The second approved 19b-4 filings for US ETH-spot ETFs in May. However, the SEC has not approved the S-1 forms, meaning that US ETH-spot ETF issuers cannot launch their ETFs.
On Friday, July 12, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior ETF Analyst Eric Balchunas commented on the pending approvals, saying,
“Yes, it’s all quiet on the Western Front right now regarding ETFs. Nothing from the SEC this week. […]. Every issuer is ready. The documents are ready. It’s like a rain delay in baseball. Just wait. Maybe things will move quickly next week. We’ll see…”
However, the crypto community remained optimistic that the SEC will approve the S-1 forms. ETF Store President Nate Geraci he said,
“It seems like the SEC is throwing out spot eth ETF S-1s similar to 19b-4s… Extremely quiet. I still think approval will be next week. Absolutely no reason for delay.”
ETH advanced 1.34% on Saturday, July 13, closing at $3,178.
Investors should remain vigilant despite recent gains. Monitor real-time data and expert commentary to adjust your trading strategies accordingly. Stay up to date with our latest news and analysis to manage crypto market risk.
Technical analysis
Bitcoin Analysis
BTC hovered above 200 days EMA while remaining below the 50-day EMA. The EMAs sent bearish price signals in the short term but bullish in the long term.
A BTC breakout of the $60,365 resistance level could signal a move towards the 50-day EMA. Additionally, a breakout above the 50-day EMA could put the $69,000 resistance level in play.
On Sunday, sentiment regarding BTC supply and demand and the Fed rate trajectory require consideration.
Conversely, a break below the 200-day EMA could signal a drop below $55,000.
With a 14-day RSI reading of 45.75, BTC could drop to the $52,884 support level before entering oversold territory.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
Fuente
Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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