Bitcoin
JPMorgan Has a Dire Warning for Bitcoin Bulls
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Alex Dovbnya
Still waiting for a new Bitcoin peak? JPMorgan has bad news for you
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Those hoping to see a new Bitcoin peak during the current post-halving cycle may be in for a rude awakening.
According to a recent report by banking analyst JPMorgan, the leading cryptocurrency has already peaked in terms of valuation and trading volumes.
The leading cryptocurrency reached its current peak of $73,737 on March 14 following the successful debut of several Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
However, the cryptocurrency failed to sustain its bullish momentum. Multiple attempts to reclaim $73,000 were unsuccessful for the bulls.
Last week, Bitcoin’s price fell below the $54,000 level, recording the largest correction of the current cycle at 27%. The cryptocurrency has been underperforming the U.S. stock market due to several bearish headwinds, such as the Mt. Gox refunds and massive sales initiated by the German government.
JPMorgan also mentioned the underperformance of Bitcoin ETFs in June, which suffered from outflows worth $662 million.
However, there are still some analysts who believe that the bull cycle is far from over. For example, Fundstrat’s Tom Lee recently reiterated his $150,000 price prediction. Commodity trader Peter Brandt is also convinced that such a target would be achievable for the leading cryptocurrency by 2025.
Despite the bearish headwinds, there are still some signs that the market may be in recovery mode. For example, spot Bitcoin ETFs managed to record an impressive $295 million in inflows on July 8, in a sign of growing demand.
About the author
Alex Dovbnya
Alex Dovbnya (aka AlexMorris) is a cryptocurrency expert, trader, and journalist with extensive experience covering everything related to the burgeoning industry — from price analysis to blockchain disruption. Alex has authored over 1,000 stories for U.Today, CryptoComes, and other fintech media outlets. He is particularly interested in regulatory trends around the world that are shaping the future of digital assets, and can be reached at alex.dovbnya@u.today.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
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Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
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Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
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Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
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“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
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Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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