Bitcoin
Bitcoin Ready for Green July, According to History
Historical Bitcoin data suggests that July is a positive month for BTC holders. This bodes well after the asset lost nearly 10% of its value last month.
Bitcoin (BTC) reclaimed the $62,200 level and approached $63,000 on Monday following a 2% jump for the market’s largest cryptocurrency. Data from CoinGlass also showed that BTC’s move propelled it above a $43 million liquidity barrier, setting BTC up for what could be a green month if history repeats itself.
BTC price on July 1 | Source: CoinGecko
In previous years, an average Bitcoin increase of nearly 8% in July followed a red candle close in June. BTC lost value on six occasions in June between 2013 and 2024, but the asset grew at least 9.6% in July during those six years.
Like crypto.news reportedThe thesis is supported by fatigued liquidations of BTC miners. Mining entities previously capitulated and liquidated swaths of BTC to cover operational costs after the halving. But this pattern slowed down heading into the new month.
BTC Historical Data | Source: Ali Martinez
Bitcoin Support and Resistance Points
According to data from Glassnode and IntoTheBlock, BTC has established support around the $60,500 to $61,600 range. Around two million addresses have accumulated over 891,800 BTC worth $55.7 billion. It is unlikely that the crypto will fall below this level, although it is not impossible.
At the same time, two major resistances at $64,700 and $64,550 could stand between Bitcoin and a quick return to the $70,000 range.
BTC Data | Source: Inside the Block
Macro events to watch out for
According to Lucy Gazmararian, the correlation between BTC and macroeconomic events may strengthen due to inflationary periods and geopolitical uncertainty. Given ongoing global inflation, particularly in the US, and tensions in Eastern Europe and the Middle East, macro events could have a greater impact on BTC markets.
Federal Reserve Chairman Jeremy Powell is scheduled to speak on July 2, followed by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes from July 3 and US jobs data from July 5. Positive news from all three events could either bolster Bitcoin’s bullish momentum this month or stall the asset.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
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Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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