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‘Boring’ Bitcoin Sends Weekend Trading Volume to All-Time Lows

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'Boring' Bitcoin Sends Weekend Trading Volume to All-Time Lows

(Bloomberg) — The proportion of Bitcoin traded on weekends has fallen to a record low of 16% this year, according to cryptocurrency research firm Kaiko.

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The drop comes in the wake of the launch of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds, which appears to have changed the periods in which Bitcoin is traded to be more in line with the schedule of traditional exchanges and reduced its price volatility.

One of the notable features of cryptocurrency is that, unlike stocks, it is traded during all hours of the day and even on Saturdays and Sundays. In the past, Bitcoin trading gained notoriety for its “Wild Weekends,” where the digital currency experienced large price fluctuations.

But this phenomenon appears to be cooling down, as weekend Bitcoin trading volume has continued to decline from its high of 28% in 2019. The launch of Bitcoin ETFs is likely a big reason why.

The decline in weekend trading is a “trend that has been going on for years but has been exacerbated by ETFs,” according to Dessislava Aubert, senior analyst at Kaiko.

Bitcoin ETFs launched with the approval of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission in early 2024 and have been a hit with investors ever since, sending Bitcoin’s price soaring to a record high in March. While some of those gains have been pared back, the largest cryptocurrency is still up about 45% this year to around $61,000.

Unlike most crypto tokens that can be traded at any time on exchanges like Binance, Bitcoin ETFs follow the schedule of the traditional stock exchange they trade on – meaning there is no trading on weekends.

The proportion of Bitcoin traded on weekdays between 3 p.m. and 4 p.m. has increased to 6.7% from 4.5% in the fourth quarter of 2023, Kaiko said. This is the period known as the benchmark-setting window, when ETF owners determine the price of Bitcoin and then use it to calculate the ETF’s net asset value.

The collapse of crypto-friendly banks Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank in March 2023 is also contributing to reduced weekend trading volumes, according to Kaiko.

This is because market makers can no longer use banks’ 24-hour payment networks to buy and sell cryptocurrencies in real-time.

“The weekend-weekday gap is likely to persist as market makers, who derive their revenue from large volumes of trades that generate the bid-ask spread, are less incentivized to provide liquidity in a low-volume environment,” the Kaiko report said.

The story continues

Institutional adoption of cryptocurrencies through Bitcoin ETFs has also led to drastically lower price volatility, according to another report from Kaiko.

When Bitcoin last hit record highs in November 2021, volatility spiked to nearly 106%. After Bitcoin hit an all-time high of $73,798 in March amid ETF optimism, volatility was just 40%.

The trend towards lower volatility, and the fact that it has remained below 50% since the beginning of 2023, indicates that Bitcoin is becoming a more mature asset, according to Kaiko.

“While it is too early to suggest this is the new normal, changes to Bitcoin’s market structure over the past year may help explain why price action has been relatively ‘boring,’” the report states.

–With assistance from Vildana Hajric.

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©2024 Bloomberg LP

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We are the editorial team of Altcoin Updates, where seriousness meets clarity in cryptocurrency analysis. With a robust team of finance and blockchain technology experts, we are dedicated to meticulously exploring complex crypto markets with detailed assessments and an unbiased approach. Our mission is to democratize access to knowledge of emerging financial technologies, ensuring they are understandable and accessible to all. In every article on Altcoin Updates, we strive to provide content that not only educates, but also empowers our readers, facilitating their integration into the financial digital age.

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Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens

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Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens

Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.

Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.

In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.

On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.

The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.

“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.

Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.

The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.

“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.

That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.

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How systematic approaches reduce investor risk

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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How systematic approaches reduce investor risk

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.

Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.

(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)

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India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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Amitoj Singh

“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”

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Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets

Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.

Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.

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