Bitcoin
The next top of the Bitcoin cycle
Although Bitcoin’s price performance (Bitcoin) has slowed down in recent weeks, corrections appear to be a natural part of your cycle, especially as they mimic the movements of previous cycles, and a renowned cryptocurrency expert revealed the top of the next Bitcoin cycle.
It turns out that the price of leading decentralized finance (DeFi) the asset has fallen well below its recently reached all-time high (ATH) of $73,738 in mid-March this year and is currently trading in the area around $65,000, but its market cycle peak could come as early as end of this year.
Bitcoin Cycle Maximum Forecast
Specifically, professional crypto trader Ali Martinez noted that if this Bitcoin market cycle reflects the previous three cycles, the “top could actually occur around December 2024 or October 2025,” according to analysis he shared in a X post on June 18th.
In fact, like the graph that the cryptography shared experts demonstrate, the greatest asset of crypto sector by market capitalization has shown similar price movements in the last three market cycles as it is showing in the current cycle that started in 2022.
In particular, if it follows the path of the 2011-2015 cycle, Bitcoin could top (+40,000% from the cycle low) in December 2024, whereas following the trends in the 2015-2018 and 2018-2022 cycle would send -o to the top of the market cycle until October 2025 (+10,000% or +2,000%, respectively).
Bitcoin price performance since the cycle low. Source: Ali Martinez
Bitcoin Price Analysis
Meanwhile, BTC was changing hands at press time at a price of $65,160, which indicates a modest increase of 0.11% in the last 24 hours, while it was down 4.13% in the previous seven days and lost 2.95 % in the month, at the same time. accumulating a gain of 54.38% in 2024, according to data from June 19.
Year-to-date (YTD) Bitcoin price chart. Source: Finbold
Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s current corrections amid the market sell-off could represent an ideal opportunity for ‘buy the dip‘ and accumulate the pioneering crypto asset before its price inevitably rises towards one of the possible peaks of the market cycle, as it has just reached its minimum of one month.
Ultimately, time will tell which of the two cycle peaks (if any) predicted by the crypto expert will happen for Bitcoin, but it is important to remember that trends in the crypto market can change easily, so doing your own research is critical when investing.
Disclaimer: The content of this website should not be considered investment advice. Investing is speculative. When investing, your capital is at risk.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
Fuente
Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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