Bitcoin
$60K or $80K; Where will the price of Bitcoin go by the end of June?
For more than a week, the Bitcoin Price witnessed aggressive selling pressure leading to a drop from $71,947 to $66,197. The 8.3% pullback was likely influenced by several factors such as pre-CPI data uncertainty, notable outflow from BTC ETFs, whale distribution and Capitulation of Bitcoin miners. Amid the decline, the coin price developed a bearish reversal pattern and broke key support to signal the continuation of the downtrend.
Read too: Bitcoin Price Analysis: What’s Next for BTC as Crypto’s Fear and Greed Index Plummets
Bitcoin Price Faces Drop Amid Miner and Whale Liquidation
Top digital asset Bitcoin has been trading sideways for the past three months, resting from the prevailing uptrend. This consolidation rumbling within two parallel trendlines revealed the formation of a bull flag – a chart configuration often detected in a strong uptrend to stabilize price action towards the higher high.
On June 7th, BTC Price faced another reversal of the overall trend line, indicating that investors could witness a prolonged consolidation. The bearish turnaround dropped Bitcoin to a 4-week low of $64,936 while the market capitalization fell to $1.28 trillion.
This current correction was accelerated by FUD around US CPI and PPI data, while sellers got a bigger boost with BTC ETFs witnessing a significant outflow.
Additionally, a recent analysis from crypto trader Alicharts highlighted that Bitcoin miners sold over 1,200 BTC, worth over $79.20 million, contributing to a recent price correction.
#Bitcoin miners played an important role in recent $BTC price correction, selling more than 1,200 #BTCworth over US$79.20 million! pic.twitter.com/hNTnn49qRS
-Ali (@ali_charts) June 15, 2024
CryptoQuant data illustrated a sharp increase in miner sales starting June 10, 2024, which correlated with a decline in the price of Bitcoin. This transaction suggests that miners are struggling to maintain operations following the recent halving.
Read too: Bitcoin sees major buying pressure despite drop to $66K, analyst suggests recovery
Furthermore, traders highlight significant market movement by Bitcoin whales based on data from Santiment. Bitcoin whales have liquidated over 50,000 BTC in the last 10 days, totaling approximately $3.30 billion. The chart provided shows a clear correlation between these large-scale sales and a downward trend in the price of Bitcoin over the same period.
Data in the chain @santimentfeed reveals that #Bitcoin whales sold more than 50,000 $BTC in the last 10 days, totaling approximately US$3.30 billion! pic.twitter.com/4p1pQVAUMi
-Ali (@ali_charts) June 14, 2024
On Friday, sellers broke the combined support of $66,588 and the slope of the 50-day EMA. If the breakdown persists, BTC price could fall to a low of $57,000 by the end of June, looking for support at the flag pattern’s lower trendline.
For buyers to regain control, a break above the flag pattern is needed, which could drive a rally to $90,000.
Technical Indicator:
TO READ: The diary Relative Strength Index Slope below 50% reflects the short-term trend is bearish.
EMA: The rise in the daily Exponential Moving Average (100 and 200) indicates that the broader Bitcoin trend remains bullish.
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Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
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Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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