Bitcoin
5 Reasons Why Bitcoin Price Is About to Rise Soon
The world of Bitcoin (BTC) is no stranger to volatility and speculation. However, recent developments suggest a potential turning point for BTC following the German government’s sell-offs. So, here are five reasons why Bitcoin’s price could be poised for a significant rally soon.
1. Capitulation of the Miner
Miner capitulation usually signals a market bottom, and recent data indicates that Bitcoin Miners are experiencing significant stress. The Bitcoin True Hashrate Drawdown percentage has reached 7.6%, levels comparable to when Bitcoin was trading at $16,000 during the FTX collapse.
Bitcoin Miner Capitulation, Source: Quinten Francois | X
This level of capitulation implies that weaker miners are being forced to shut down their operations, which historically precedes a recovery in the price of Bitcoin. As these miners cease operations, the selling pressure they exert on the market diminishes. This paves the way for a potential price recovery.
2. German Bitcoin sell-off ends
The German government recently concluded its massive Bitcoin sell-off, which began on June 19. Over the past few weeks, the market has absorbed nearly $3.5 billion in Bitcoin liquidations. Despite this significant selling pressure, the price of Bitcoin has remained resilient around $58,000. This stability amid massive liquidations is a strong indicator of the underlying strength of the market.
Notable crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe highlighted this resilience on social media platform X. He emphasized that the markets have effectively absorbed this immense selling pressure. With no further German government liquidations expected, the absence of this substantial downward pressure could allow the price of Bitcoin to rally. The trend has already begun with BTC Price exceeding US$60,000.
Read too: Samson Mow proposes 50,000 bitcoin buyback to German lawmaker
3. Bitcoin Whale Accumulation
Whale activity often plays a crucial role in cryptocurrency markets, and recent data suggests an upward trend. According to statistics from blockchain analytics platform IntoTheBlock, Bitcoin Whales acquired an additional 71,000 BTC in the past week. These whales took advantage of the dip caused by the German sell-off.
This substantial accumulation brings the total whale transaction volume on the BTC network to a staggering $41.32 billion. Despite an 8% drop in the 24-hour rate of change, the weekly increase in whale transactions remained robust. The continued accumulation by these large holders drains Bitcoin’s supply, often leading to a price surge.
4. Global inflows into Bitcoin ETFs
Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) around the world have seen notable inflows. Bitcoin ETFs in Hong Kong have increased their holdings by 28.6% since the end of June, accumulating a total of 4,941 BTC as of July 13. In Australia, the Monochrome Bitcoin ETF (IBTC) has also attracted attention, approaching the 100 BTC mark since its launch.
Meanwhile, the United States witnessed net inflows into Bitcoin ETFs exceeding $1.1 billion in just one week. This marks the largest weekly inflow on record. This surge in ETF investments underscores the growing institutional appetite for Bitcoin. This could drive Bitcoin’s price higher as more capital flows into the market.
5. High probability of Fed rate cut
Economic indicators and signals from the Federal Reserve point to a high probability of an interest rate cut, which could significantly impact the price of Bitcoin. Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone predicted that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates following a reversal in US stocks.
Historical parallels suggest that, following the substantial rate hikes from 2004 to 2006, the first rate cut occurred in September 2007. Similarly, following recent rate hikes totaling 525 basis points since Q1 2022, a rate cut is expected in September.
Despite positive Producer Price Index (PPI) data for June, which indicate persistent inflation, the CME FedWatch The tool shows a 90.3% probability of a rate cut in September. Lower interest rates typically lead to a weaker US dollar and increased investor interest in alternative assets like BTC. Therefore, the price of Bitcoin could see significant growth.
Read too: MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin Effect: Mid-Sized Companies and Nonprofits Convert Treasuries to BTC
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
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Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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