Bitcoin
$160M Bitcoin War Chest Could Ruin Democrats in November
Several of the world’s largest cryptocurrency companies organized a political war chest of more than $160 million they plan to invest this year in support of candidates who favor “light-touch” industrial regulations — and Republicans stand to benefit most, experts tell The Post.
Cryptocurrency companies’ spending on lobbying and government relations hit a new high of $24.7 million in 2023, according to the Securities and Exchange Commission.
Another $5.6 million has already been spent in the first quarter of 2024 – an amount that is expected to more than quintuple by November.
The two biggest spenders are Coin basea popular crypto exchange platform, and the Blockchain Association, a nonprofit organization that lobbies legislators at the state and federal levels.
Many of the world’s largest cryptocurrency companies have organized a political war chest. REUTERS
A campaign fund of this size makes crypto one of the most influential players this election cycle.
Former President Donald “Trump’s acceptance and embrace of cryptography stands in stark contrast to the overwhelmingly regressive approach to cryptography taken by the Biden administration and the Democratic Party in general, which has consistently attacked the industry, in most cases unfairly,” Edward Wilson , an analyst at blockchain firm Nansen, told The Post.
“The issue of cryptocurrency is likely to influence and could even swing the election. That’s because many US-based cryptocurrency supporters place cryptocurrency as a key issue for them and are fed up with the approach of going after good players in the space like Coinbase and Uniswap while blocking access to products and airdrops. , while other countries prosper, taking industry abroad with them. Based on this, it is likely that Republicans will receive significantly more in cryptocurrency donations — but it is difficult to determine how much — than Democrats.”
This could be extremely bad news for Democrats like current Senator Sherrod Brown of Ohio, who has repeatedly challenged the ethics and effectiveness of crypto companies and cryptocurrencies in general. (Brown’s campaign did not respond to The Post’s request for comment.)
“Our founders would have been bitcoiners,” said Brown’s Republican opponent, Ohio businessman Bernie Moreno. “They believed in decentralization of power and control. That’s what it is. [Brown] I laughed about it, but I take it very seriously.”
Moreno already owned his own blockchain company and says Ohio has “a lot” of crypto “farmers” that his government should also consider.
“Encryption represents freedom, and philosophically what lawmakers like Brown and Democrats believe is that they should have control,” Moreno told the Post. “They would prefer to have control over schools, jobs and, of course, the currency. . . . They hate encryption in their hearts because they want to be in control. We disagree.”
“Our founders would have been bitcoiners,” said Bernie Moreno. SHOVEL
When asked whether Democrats could reverse course and find more support for the crypto industry before polls open, Moreno was not optimistic.
“The power of the Democratic Party is controlled by extremists like Brown and Elizabeth Warren,” Moreno said. “Word has gotten out to the industry that if they get four or more years of control, crypto in America will be completely dead.”
But not everyone is convinced that cryptography will be able to reach political dominance in America.
“The cryptocurrency industry has become much more involved in politics in just the last few years, from lobbying efforts to campaign donations,” said University of Dayton political scientist Christopher Devine. “But it’s unclear whether encryption will be successful in influencing elections across the country or in tight races involving powerful members of Congress, like Sherrod Brown’s battle for re-election in Ohio.”
One thing that can slow them down, according to Devine, is a lack of focus.
“It is important to note that the cryptocurrency industry donated equally to both parties in 2022,” he told the Post. “Their goals are not particularly partisan or ideological. They want to curry favor with whichever candidate is most likely to win a seat in the next Congress and potentially be able to vote on legislation that affects their industry.”
Jason Allegrante, chief legal and compliance officer at crypto firm Fireblocks, agrees – to a point.
“Blockchain is first and foremost a technology – and the development of this technology transcends political parties. What is notable about the industry’s positioning in this election cycle is that it will continue to prioritize the cause of innovation first, even as it returns to electoral politics. Republicans may benefit more this November simply because many already seem to understand the issues. But all candidates, regardless of party, will have the opportunity to defend crypto or test an anti-crypto stance with the American electorate,” he told the Post.
Right now, the industry seems to be trying to determine whether men like Brown and Moreno are the outliers of their party when it comes to crypto or the exemplars. Simply put: He wants to make friends.
And the Republican Party seems very friendly.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
Fuente
Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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